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 Tropical storm season '16		  New Topic  Topic Locked
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Davy J
Master Marine Consultant

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USA
1511 Posts
Response Posted - 10/05/2016 :  06:09:51  Show Profile
The only thing certain is that they have changed the forecast about every twelve hours. Now, after skirting FL, SC, NC, have the track heading east into the Atlantic and possibly turning back to the south.
Davy J


2005 Gemini 105Mc
PO 1987 C25 #5509 SR/SK
Tampa Bay
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Stinkpotter
Master Marine Consultant

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Djibouti
9017 Posts
Response Posted - 10/05/2016 :  08:28:59  Show Profile
quote:
Originally posted by dasreboot

you guys sure? noaa puts a 5% chance of tropical storm force winds in southern va by 2am monday. its just north of cuba today moving really slowly.
Apparently you missed what we were looking at yesterday. Yes, Matt is now expected to get trapped down there, having missed a system that was supposed to yank him up the coast. Annapolis should be good.

We could have used the rain up here from a near miss, but weren't wishing for a hit!
Dave Bristle
Association "Port Captain" for Mystic/Stonington CT
PO of 1985 C-25 SR/FK #5032 Passage, USCG "sixpack" (expired),
Now on Eastern 27 $+!nkp*+ Sarge
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Voyager
Master Marine Consultant

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USA
5239 Posts
Response Posted - 10/05/2016 :  11:50:10  Show Profile
While the Hurricane Center is confident of the storm's path in the next 2 days, the projections show that the storm will likely move east out to sea away from shore after that. But nobody's betting on it just yet.

One weather model shows it moving away and fading away. Another shows it doing a 180° and heading back toward shore for another round. This would be painful.

While NYC, CT, LI, MA and NJ may have dodged this one, nobody can say that for sure...
Bruce Ross
Passage ~ SR-FK ~ C25 #5032

Port Captain — Milford, CT
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islander
Master Marine Consultant

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USA
3994 Posts
Response Posted - 10/06/2016 :  14:56:43  Show Profile
So much attention to this hurricane they hardly mention Nichole, ACat 1 just east of Matthew.
Scott-"IMPULSE"87'C25/SR/WK/Din.#5688
Sailing out of Glen Cove,L.I Sound


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Stinkpotter
Master Marine Consultant

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Djibouti
9017 Posts
Response Posted - 10/06/2016 :  21:22:25  Show Profile
Yup--Nicole is expected to eventually head NW inside of Bermuda, but the models then show her turning east, out to sea. Of course, they had a little trouble with the forecast for Matthew...
Dave Bristle
Association "Port Captain" for Mystic/Stonington CT
PO of 1985 C-25 SR/FK #5032 Passage, USCG "sixpack" (expired),
Now on Eastern 27 $+!nkp*+ Sarge
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TCurran
Admiral

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USA
588 Posts
Response Posted - 10/08/2016 :  10:34:36  Show Profile
quote:
Originally posted by TCurran

Yup...I believed that it was heading away from us here on FL's Space Coast. Pulled the Watkins out for a "quick" bottom job. Well, multiple blisters (some rather large) killed any idea of a "quick" job. Pretty much worked non-stop the last two days just so I can out it back on a trailer and off of the jack stands (can secure it better on the trailer vice the jack stands). Hope to have it on the trailer and strip the canvas and sails tomorrow and get my hurricane/boating stove(s) and coffee pot. Stripped the sails off of the Capri and double tied the lines. Will check again in the morning, expecting high water with Matthew. Hope everyone stays safe and comes through with little or no damage. have everything i need at the house except beer...will fight the masses tomorrow for a couple of cases.


Fought the masses and grabbed a bunch of beer, decided to bail on the house on the barrier island and went to the mainland. House ended up fine, only a little fence damage. Haven't been able to get back on the base to look at the marina, however I can see the Watkins on the trailer from the road, looks good. I can't see the Capri 25, but I've heard about some boat's being damaged and she wasn't one of them. Can see a few of the boats with their furlers unrolled and their sails shredded from the road. We got very lucky in this part of FL.
Tom Curran
1981 Capri 25 Hull #101 "Dirty Debbie"
1988 Watkins 30
PAFB, FL
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TCurran
Admiral

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USA
588 Posts
Response Posted - 10/10/2016 :  03:46:35  Show Profile
Was able to get on base, in the Marina to check on my boats. Both of mine survived, as did Chuck Shaw's C25 hull #1. Not much damaged to other boats, two sailboats in dry storage turned over (both strapped to their trailer), one a small 16' Precision, the other a 26' McGregor WB. Also had two sailboats completely break free from their moorings (both are pretty much abandoned boats). One lost its mast which damaged another boats SS bimini frame, the other got twisted in the slip and busted a water outlet. We got lucky! Hope everyone else's association's boats fared well as well.
Tom Curran
1981 Capri 25 Hull #101 "Dirty Debbie"
1988 Watkins 30
PAFB, FL
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Stinkpotter
Master Marine Consultant

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Djibouti
9017 Posts
Response Posted - 10/10/2016 :  09:05:04  Show Profile
Good to hear! Matt fizzed out, and Nicole is wandering out to sea. But "it ain't over till it's over," and the first named storm of 2016 was in January! Maybe we're entering perpetual hurricane season.
Dave Bristle
Association "Port Captain" for Mystic/Stonington CT
PO of 1985 C-25 SR/FK #5032 Passage, USCG "sixpack" (expired),
Now on Eastern 27 $+!nkp*+ Sarge
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Voyager
Master Marine Consultant

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USA
5239 Posts
Response Posted - 10/12/2016 :  19:46:41  Show Profile
We done yet? Seemed like a lot of twists and turns this year. NC is still reeling.
Bruce Ross
Passage ~ SR-FK ~ C25 #5032

Port Captain — Milford, CT
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glivs
Admiral

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USA
822 Posts
Response Posted - 10/13/2016 :  06:08:22  Show Profile
It doesn't make US news but the Canadian maritimes also were seriously hurt (flooding) by Mathew's remnants.
Gerry & Leslie; Malletts Bay, VT
"Great Escape" 1989 C-25 SR/WK #5972
Edited by - glivs on 10/13/2016 06:11:24
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Stinkpotter
Master Marine Consultant

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Djibouti
9017 Posts
Response Posted - 10/13/2016 :  07:10:32  Show Profile
Trouble on the St. Johns...
Dave Bristle
Association "Port Captain" for Mystic/Stonington CT
PO of 1985 C-25 SR/FK #5032 Passage, USCG "sixpack" (expired),
Now on Eastern 27 $+!nkp*+ Sarge
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OJ
Master Marine Consultant

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USA
4382 Posts
Response Posted - 10/13/2016 :  08:23:11  Show Profile
Aftermath of Hurricane Matthew at Palmetto Bay Marina Hilton Head Island, SC

https://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=youtu.be&v=AUSxyYMP6rA&app=desktop

1989 C25 TR/WK, #5822
1973 McVay Minuet 19
1975 Jester 12
1981 C25 SR/SK, #2428
1981 C22 SR/SK,
Tanzer 16
Sunfish

"There is nothing, absolutely nothing half so much worth doing as simply messing about in boats." Kenneth Grahame
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bigelowp
Master Marine Consultant

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USA
1739 Posts
Response Posted - 10/14/2016 :  18:26:42  Show Profile
The season officially lasts until December 1, and I know we in the Northeast are over due, so no "tropical disturbance" should be ignored.
Peter Bigelow
C-25 TR/FK #2092 Limerick
Rowayton, Ct
Port Captain: Rowayton/Norwalk/Darien CT
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Stinkpotter
Master Marine Consultant

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Djibouti
9017 Posts
Response Posted - 10/15/2016 :  08:59:48  Show Profile
Looks like Nicole will make landfall around Tasiilaq, Greenland.
Dave Bristle
Association "Port Captain" for Mystic/Stonington CT
PO of 1985 C-25 SR/FK #5032 Passage, USCG "sixpack" (expired),
Now on Eastern 27 $+!nkp*+ Sarge
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Notice: The advice given on this site is based upon individual or quoted experience, yours may differ.
The Officers, Staff and members of this site only provide information based upon the concept that anyone utilizing this information does so at their own risk and holds harmless all contributors to this site.